Fannie Mae / California Firm Says Delinquency Rates Up
October 30th, 2009 Categories: Graphs and Charts, Loan Modification, Mortgage and Loans, Pre Foreclosures, Real Estate News, Real Estate Trends
Last Month’ 9129/09 from Calculated Risk;
Fannie Mae reported that the serious delinquency rate for conventional loans in its single-family guarantee business increased to 4.17 percent in July, up from 3.94 percent in June – and up from 1.45% in July 2008.
“Includes seriously delinquent conventional single-family loans as a percent of the total number of conventional single-family loans. These rates are based on conventional single-family mortgage loans and exclude reverse mortgages and non-Fannie Mae mortgage securities held in our portfolio.”
Just more evidence of some shadow inventory and the next wave of foreclosures.
Update: These stats include loans in trial modifications.
Than today from Chris Mcglaughlin;
According a report from California-based real estate market consulting firm Foresight Analytics, total delinquencies for first-lien residential mortgages grew to an estimated 11% during Q309. The final figures for the third quarter are not due until the end of November, but Foresight’s report bases its data on earnings reports and call report filings from banks. Residential delinquencies increased from 10.2% in Q209 and from 6.4% from the second quarter of 2008, according to the report. The delinquency rate rose approximately 1% every quarter since the Q108, except for a quick blip in Q408. “We have been expecting the rate of increase to slow, but clearly this has not yet occurred,” said the report.
Nonaccrual rates for residential mortgages also jumped to 4.7% in Q309 from 3.8% in the previous quarter, and delinquencies in commercial mortgages also ballooned for the quarter. The rate hiked to 4.7% in Q309 from 4.1% in the previous quarter and more than doubled the 2.1% rate a year ago, according to the report. “The delinquency rate has been increasing at an accelerated rate since Lehman Brothers’ collapse in September 2008 and the ensuing severe credit crunch and economic downturn.” The delinquency rate in commercial loans is still well below the 8% delinquency rate in the third quarter of 1991, but the rate still worries analysts in light of a weak economy, constricted credit availability and a large number of commercial mortgages coming due the next few years.
